Summary for the 1st of March 2019
The GDP growth in the US was at 2.6% from the third quarter (3.4%)to
the fourth quarter of 2018. The growth rate beat the market expectations.
Consumer spending was in line with the long term economic growth. The net exports
have reduced the GDP growth by 0.22%. Looking at 2018 as a whole, the GDP
growth was at 2.9%, the strongest growth rate since 2015. Though, the outlook
for 2019 economic growth is still weak, due to part of the beginning of 2019
was affected by government shutdown. The effect of the fiscal policy will start
to get weaker, and the lending terms will probably be getting tighter. Increase
in protectionism and weaker global growth will also drag down the economic
growth for 2019.
Despite the GDP growth, the US stock markets closed in
negative yesterday. Japan and China’s stock markets closed in positive after China
released a better than expected Caixin Manufacturing PMI numbers.
Indices for 1st of March
Dow: -0.3% (28th of February )
S&P 500: -0.3% (28th of February)
Nasdaq: -0.3% (28th of February)
Nikkei: +1% (1st
of March)
Chinese indices: +0.5% (1st of March))
STOXX Europe 600 Index: +0.39% (1st of March)
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